Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Why Kovalchuk's Deal Was Rejected
I know it's summer and the weather is nice and all that crap, but I can't over the frustration I have with the lack comprehension of why Kovalchuk's deal got rejected. Hockey analysts have apparently Wikipedia-ed "longest NHL contracts," and thrown in references to DiPietro, Luongo, Pronger, and Ovechkin and said (presumably in the voice of a four-year old in a toy store) "their contract didn't get rejected, so why did Kovalchuk's?". Here's a quick breakdown of why these comparisons are wrong, as well as why Kovalchuk's deal is different:
DiPietro: It can be said that the Kneeless One's 15-year deal is what started this madness, but that's actually not true. DiPietro's salary matches his cap number, which means there is NO cap circumvention, only a misguided belief that he was the franchise savior and could command more money if he ever needed to renegotiate a contract. Today, as long as Rick drags his carcass to training camp and onto the DL each year, the Isles are on the hook.
Ovechkin: Similar to DiPietro, Ovechkin's deal was simply to ensure that he's in a Caps uniform for life. His deal, as well as the new one linemate Backstrom signed, actually go UP later in the contract.
Pronger: Pronger's was a deal that actually could have drawn some investigation from the NHL, since the contract has two years tacked on at the end worth only $1.05 million combined. However, the extension ended up kicking in after Pronger was 35, meaning that when Pronger finally gets taken out of the game on a stretcher by the karma train, his $4.291 million cap hit is around for another 7 years.
Luongo: Besides lowering the average cap hit, there are other two reasons those extra years tacked on are so effective. First, it creates a disincentive for the already ridiculously wealthy player to keep playing (this wouldn't work under the NBA, known as the Antwan Walker exception), and second, it creates a more favorable buyout situation. Luongo's contract, I believe, is the latter. If Luongo is bought out after only 8 years, the contract is structured so that buyout will only count for $500,000 of cap space. If the cap keeps rising as the recession fades, 8 years of buyout payments of half a million is peanuts compared to 8 years of a Cup window. Even if he plays out his contract until he's 43, goalies have the potential to play longer than skaters - 392 year-old Chris Chelios is the exception - and especially forwards. Since the lockout, only one forward has made it to 44 - Claude Lemieux - and that was after a retirement in 2003, a five-year relaxation period, followed by 2008 comeback where he netted one assist in 18 games for the Sharks.
Kovalchuk: The key to why Kovalchuk's deal was rejected was his No Movement Clause, which expires after 2016-2017. Once the deal hits the 11-year mark, Kovy makes $750,000 followed by 5 years of $550,000. At that point, with an NMC, the Devils will no doubt stick him in the minors. There's no way in hell Kovy moves up the coast to play in Albany for the River Rats, and he'll only be 38 by then, leaving more than enough time to retire and book it to Russia for another few years and a few more million bucks as a returning Russian hero superstar. None of the other contracts above structure such a blatant no-movement clause like this, and that's the reason the NHL may have some grounds to reject it. I'm not a big city, fancy-talkin' lawyer or nothin', but that appears to be the only grounds the NHL has to stand on.
We're also Canucks fan, so we'd like to say the deal got nixed because it would be really great to get a superstar in the Southern California area. And hey, isn't that where Mike Murphy works? Yeah, that guy. We feel your pain Devils fans, and we have extra tinfoil hats for you.
Sunday, July 18, 2010
Steve Blake: An Idiot
Sam's beloved Los Angeles Lakers, however, have a different strategy. You may have read Sam's glowing article praising the signing of Steve Blake as the role-player pickup of the summer. Well, Blake is up for an another award over at Deadspin: America's Dumbest Student-Athlete, for an essay he wrote during his stint at Maryland. An excerpt:
"A young couple was walking down Main Street arguing with each other. The young lady got frustrated with her boyfriend and just walked away from him and went into a restaurant. He wanted to make up with her so he went in there after her. He met her inside and they waited for someone to help them find a seat. They where greeted by a young lady who was very kind and friendly. The hostess found them a comfortable booth and told them to have a good time. As they were sitting, they heard a song by Elvis being played throughout the whole restaurant. The couple looked at each other and smiled because they both really liked that song. The restaurant that this couple went to is in Florida and is called Johnny Rockets, a restaurant that brings people happiness."You can enjoy the full article penned by
UPDATE: I Write Like has performed its scientific analysis, and determined that Blake writes like famous author Stephen King. So I must issue my apologies. Here's the official badge of certification.
I Write Like by Mémoires, Mac journal software. Analyze your writing!
FYI, both Sam and I write like David Foster Wallace. Yeah, that guy.
Saturday, July 17, 2010
I have become the new Sam
Hipster Sam, in a file photo
I'm sorry to all our loyal subscribers. I have become the new Sam, not posting in over a month and letting him reclaim this as some sort of basketball blog. Slow down there, kid. Here are three thoughts from the NHL free agent frenzy, before we enter another 2 months of hot, summer weather and soul-crushing loneliness from hockey:
1. Drink lots of milk. Want to play in the NHL? Don't pick up the stick: drop the gloves, and give Glen Sather a call. On July 1, the Rangers signed Derek Boogaard to a 4-year, $6.6 million contract, which averages to $1.65 million a season. Yes, he's a big boy and yes, he can win fights. But he only fought 9 times last year (7-1-1). He tallied 4 assists, and was a -12. And he's not even a guy who can eat up minutes in a checking role: he only tallied 350:36 in TOI last year, which averages to 6:09 a game. For comparisons sake, if Duncan Keith were compensated in the same minutes to salary ratio, he'd make $10.3 million a season. And Keith is probably more effective during his shifts. You know, with the Norris and all.
2. The best NHL teams are proactive, not reactive. Analysts continue to be mystified why Nabokov scampered off to Russia, Dan Hamhuis got $4.5 million, and Kovalchuk isn't in a Kings jersey yet. They shouldn't be. The dead puck era after the first lockout in 1995 was a direct result of the Devils winning the cup. Roberto Luongo and Chris Pronger's long contracts were modeled after Zetterberg's in Detroit. The league is a copycat league, and whatever wins becomes the prevailing model. Thanks to Leighton and Niemi, teams are overpaying for defense and relying on average goaltending. Pierre Gauthier of the Habs risked his personal safety on the Montreal streets and traded away Halak because teams don't want to spend $4 million on goaltending: they'd rather get another $3 million defenseman and pay an entry-level deal in net. Of course, when Luongo lifts the Cup next year, you can bet Vokoun, Giguere, and Bryzgalov will get paaaaid, son.
3. The Blackhawks are three years away again. Remember when the Florida Marlins won the World Series in 1997? And then remember the next year, when they won 54 games and finished last in their division? Probably not because baseball is slow, boring, and relies entirely on nostalgia to keep its sport viable, but the Blackhawks are dangerously close to setting another precedent. Yes, they have kept their frighteningly young and talented core together, and yes, the trades they have made so far have all been great despite being in a terrible bargaining position (thanks, Rick Dudley.) However, the best point that has been made so far is that it limits the Blackhawks to match their lineup against their opponents. For example, take Game 1 of the Western Conference Semis against the Canucks, or as its known around here, the last time anyone in Vancouver was planning parade routes. The Blackhawks got dominated by the 'Nucks in their own building 5-1, but the very next game came out and overcame a two-goal deficit to win 4-2. What happened in that 48 hour span? The 'Hawks came out with a bigger and nastier lineup. They scratched Bickell and Hendry, added Burish and Eager, and remodeled their lines, giving Byfuglien 5 more minutes of ice time and Brouwer 7 less. The result? More bodies in front of Luongo, more trouble for the beat up Canucks defense, and a momentum changing win. Unless the Blackhawks work some more cap-saving magic, they are doomed to a very one-dimensional lineup, a real threat of season-changing injuries, and a record that will barely get them into the playoffs.
LeBro
Friday, July 16, 2010
Hype Kills
I was checking out this sick t-shirt at the freshnes, and the catchphrase got me thinking a bit.
Thursday, July 15, 2010
Imagine...
Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Bryan Has To Make Me Look Like The Asshole Yet Again
I was getting more and more excited about the prospect of having a legitimate defensive big man in Tyson and that shred of hope I started to feel just got ripped away and torn to smithereens. Just so MJ could turn around and get Erick Dampier.
Unlike Charlotte/MJ, I like the moves that Rod Thorn and the Nets are making. Stockpiling talented players who could really blossom in the next couple of years - Farmar, Outlaw, Morrow and Favors if you consider the draft. I'm surprised that they didn't land a marquee free agent because if I was an NBA player I would be pretty stoked at the prospect of being the face of whatever franchise is about to jump the bridge to Brooklyn, is represented by Jay-Z and is owned by Mikhail Prokhorov.
Monday, July 12, 2010
Bryan Colangelo
Average-to-mediocre, and that's exactly the kind of GM Bryan Colangelo is.
Despite whatever wizardry he may have worked in the desert, the guy hasn't been on top of his game since coming to T-dot.
Nevertheless, some members of the media can't help but jump on his nuts every time he makes a trade. So let's examine the latest:
Trading away Hedo, Jose and a large part of the trade exception created by Chris Bosh's departure for Boris Diaw, Leandro Barbosa and Tyson Chandler.
Great, great decision. But still, all Colangelo's actually accomplished with this flashy trade is to cover up/correct a couple of the worst blunders he'd previously committed. I can't blame too harshly for the length and price of the Calderon contract, because at the time it was widely lauded as a great signing, but the Hedo contract was regarded as a mistake even before the ink dried. The reality of the situation is this: The 2010/2011 Raptors are still going to stink, the only difference is that the certainty of further stinkitude in the future is somewhat diminished.
As a fan I'm happy that I'll have a fairly sympathetic and entertaining team to root for as they lose at least 55 games, but the analytical part of my brain is terrified that this seeming-forward-progress will be levied into a contract extension and that I'll have to put up with 3 more seasons of mediocre-to-average.
Slow down, ESPN.
This particular countenance surely reflects his response to the ball aggressively massaging his face.
I relished the moments of drawn out agony, contorted faces, and priceless expressions that popped up every time there was an epic play or goal, and I firmly believe that FIFA players could pose some serious competition at any gurning event in England.
There isn't much of a point to all of this except to say thank you to FIFA, for all the slow motion clips that kept me alive during the 2010 World Cup. Like everything else, football is DEFINITELY much better in slow motion.
-McGales
Also, thanks everyone for reading my awesome guest-post. I love you guys, and I'm not just saying that because I'm drunk.
Sunday, July 11, 2010
Player Profile: Didier Ilunger-Mbenga aka DJ Mbenga aka Congo Cash
Saturday, July 10, 2010
Forget Summer 2010, I'm excited for 2020
This one is for all the Cleveland fans who are left (aka didn't hang themselves with their LeBron jerseys/we are all witnesses t-shirts (and those poor poor Knicks fans who bought this)). It's a list of future NBA stars that the HCP has obtained by way of Muzikrehberinettc. Though I personally don't know Muzikrehberinettc, I believe it's safe to say that we all owe him a debt of gratitude for traveling to the future, battling off futuristic robots bent on mankind's destruction/enslavement and selflessly sharing his discovery that, among other things, the NBA will convert to metric by 2020. Apparently, he watched Hoosiers and it lost some of the dramatic punch after the lines were retroactively converted:
Here are the Top 12 NBA players in 2020:
Friday, July 9, 2010
Olli Jokinen back to the Flames.
I was on Yahoo! Sports earlier today (like I am every day) and I started reading an article by Sam McCaig from 10 days ago about the various needs that Canadian teams would attempt to address via free agency (the premise was that the Canadiens and the Canucks were the two teams that needed the least and would make the fewest moves. I was/am skeptical, since the needs of a contending team can be dealt with better via free agency than, for example, the gaping holes that Toronto and Edmonton have in their rosters.) Anyways, the article was pretty simple and kind of just basic common sense, but there was one team section that made my day.
Take it away Sam:
Calgary Flames This should come as no surprise: The Flames need a No. 1 center to set up power winger Jarome Iginla. Just like last season, the season before that and the season before that (and the season before that). Calgary’s current top centers, Matt Stajan and Daymond Langkow, simply don’t cut it; Stajan is a second-liner at best, while Langkow turns 34 in September and is slowing down.
Problem is, the Flames have less than $7 million to spend, and need to re-sign defenseman Ian White as well as at least three other depth forwards. Not to mention, Calgary is banking on Swedish rookie Henrik Karlsson to back up Miikka Kiprusoff. Karlsson, 26, is a 6-foot-6 specimen who starred in Sweden last year, but he hasn’t played a second in the NHL.
Another problem: Beyond ex-Flame Matthew Lombardi, there’s not a lot out of there in the way of UFA centers. It’s not like Calgary is going to bring back Olli Jokinen.
"...It's not like Calgary is going to bring back Olli Jokinen." The author of the article has got to have some kind of extremely potent blackmail on Darryl Sutter (I mean I think he must, but how do you blackmail a man who feels no shame?), because there's no way he wrote this column without already knowing exactly how this was all going to play out.
Read it again, and this time keep in mind what we know now, that Olli is, at this very moment, enjoying the "agriculture-related attractions and free, fun-packed activities and presentations" offered by Agrium Ag-tivity in the City at the Stampede. It's the greatest bit of comedy ever written right? The whole Flames section sets up that last punchline perfectly.
And speaking of great comedy, I want to take this opportunity to revive the 2nd most popular piece of artwork to ever adorn the pages of the HCP:
Thursday, July 8, 2010
CB4 and a couple other guys are headed to Miami
So it's happened. LeBron, Wade and Bosh have all joined forces to make a bigger better three.
This isn't the most exciting possible result (see my previous post on the Brooklyn Nets for that) but it is going to be very, very interesting.
The team, as it stands right now is Mario Chalmers, Dwyane Wade, LeBron James, Chris Bosh and Michael Beasley. That's an instant power-team in the East but whether they're going to be able to get past Orlando, the Celtics or possibly the Lakers in the Finals is heavily dependent on who else is added and how this team is put together.
Who else needs to join this team in order for these guys to maximize their potential?
First off, you need shooters and defenders. LeBron and Wade are both streak-shooters from the outside and Wade had a particularly poor shooting slump this past season. Chalmers is a pretty terrible shooter in his own right so you can't expect him to pick up the slack there. And both Bosh and Beasley should be playing mostly near to the basket.
So the team needs a couple of guards/swingmen who can shoot and defend (Rafer would fit, Michael Finley, Keith Bogans, Q-Rich [all oldish who might take a min contract for a shot at a title]) and then another big or two. Bosh has played Center before so he can move over to the 5 if Beasley somehow gets something going over the summer and is ready to contribute in the starting five.
Coming out of all of this, the player who's game has the potential to improve the most is Chris Bosh. With LeBron knowing he has to prove himself desperately (by winning) and Wade's crazy competitiveness, Bosh is really going to have to learn to bring the intensity every night and on every possession. As a long-time Raptors semi-fan I can say from experience how frustrating Bosh can be. He has ridiculous talent but is mentally weak. I've seen nights when Bosh either got a basket or got to the line every single time he drove or made a move in the low post but still preferred to take fadeaway jumpers from the baseline and/or the high post. LeBron and Wade are either going to turn him into an absolute monster or crush his confidence forever.
Regardless, nobody can say how good this team is going to be until we watch the big three and the rest of the guys Pat Riley gets all play together as a team. I want to see these guys make the kind of beautiful basketball music we saw from team USA at the Beijing Olympics and hopefully get us a superstar-studded Finals match-up with the Lakers.